Cirium lowers 2026‑2045 aircraft delivery forecast to 43,000 units

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Cirium now forecasts 43,000 commercial passenger and freighter aircraft deliveries between 2026 and 2045, down from its previous estimate of 46,500 for the same period.
The firm projects the global passenger fleet to exceed 50,000 aircraft by 2045, growing at an average annual rate of 3.2%, with China, India and the Asia‑Pacific region accounting for about 48% of the modeled fleet allocation; single‑aisle jets are expected to represent 76% of the fleet, the A321neo 16%, and Airbus 47% of the modeled passenger fleet allocation.