Cirium trims 2026‑2045 aircraft delivery forecast to 43,000 units

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Cirium now forecasts 43,000 commercial passenger and freighter aircraft deliveries between 2026 and 2045, down from its previous estimate of 46,500 deliveries for the same period.
The total value of the expected deliveries is about $3.2 trillion, reduced from $3.4 trillion in the earlier forecast, with the cut attributed to supply‑chain problems, limited engine capacity and certification delays, as well as higher fuel costs, geopolitical uncertainties and global trade risks. Cirium still expects the global passenger aircraft fleet to exceed 50,000 aircraft by 2045.